Japan's cherry blossom season is changing. The blooming of the
cherry blossoms used to coincide with the traditional start of the
fiscal year, but it's been moving up
over the past few decades. There's public awareness of a changing
climate; the challenge is figuring out appropriate policy
responses. With the election of a new government, it looks like Japan
may finally be ready to get on the right track.
We spoke to a number of people about Japan's response to the climate
crisis, including climate activists Kenro Taura (Kiko
Network) and Naoyuki Yamagishi (WWF
Japan), as well as a host of other local activists, academics, environmentalists, and acquaintances. Here's the story, as we
understand it. (All mistakes are our own.)
KYOTO: Kyoto's role in the global spotlight as the host of
the 1997 climate change summit had a big impact in Japan. While the
resulting Kyoto
Protocol turned out to
be a mixed bag, the conference galvanized national attention around
the issue, inspiring new climate activists around the
country. Hundreds of Japanese groups launched a Kiko ("climate") Forum
during the conference, which was later turned into a permanent Kiko
Network, now made up of about 150 member groups.
INACTION: Again and again, we were told that Japanese
citizens often expect the government to resolve problems, and the
climate crisis is no different. Awareness doesn't always translate
into political engagement or action. Local environmental NGOs do an amazing
amount with a relatively small base of support -- not because the
issue doesn't resonate with people, but because in a group-oriented
society, even sympathizers are sometimes uncomfortable with direct
engagement.
ROADBLOCKS: While citizens
haven't spoken out in a big way, the corporate sector hasn't been
shy. After the Kyoto agreement, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party, supported by major business interests, seemed to look
the other way on tackling Japan's emissions. At one point, the
government was spending an astounding 80+% of it's climate change
budget on road-widening. The
Keidanren,
the largest industrial association in Japan, has been consistently
pushing the government to look for cuts elsewhere, or risk harming
industrial competitiveness. While the Kyoto Protocol
required
Japan to set a midterm target of reducing emissions by 6% over 1990
levels, the Keidanren was reportedly lobbying to increase
emissions by 4%. The environmental ministry has been reasonably
supportive of stronger climate policy, but they've been fairly
powerless compared to the trade and industrial ministry. Rules
that have been put into place are often toothless; for example,
local government agencies are required to create, but not implement,
climate action plans.
SECRETS: Since
the 1970s, Japanese companies have had to report on energy use to the
government trade ministry. This high-quality data was never made
public, even to the environmental ministry, but activists got their hands on the energy use data after Japan passed a freedom of
information law in 2000. The shocking disclosure? 200 industrial sites are responsible for
half of Japan's carbon emissions, and just 14,000 companies are
responsible for 70% of Japan's emissions. A tiny number of
major players do most of the harm -- and the data names names and
allocates responsibility. Unlike the situation in most countries, the
Japanese people now know who the nation's biggest carbon polluters
are, their names and addresses. The next step? Action.
OBAMA-ESQUE: Japan's dramatic 2009 national
elections marked the electoral loss of the Liberal Democratic Party
(LDP),
in power since 1955, to the Democratic Party of Japan
(DPJ). While voters focused
much more on the economy than the environment, the DPJ used climate
policy as a way to clearly distinguish themselves from the incumbent
government. New DPJ Prime Minister Hatoyama recently announced
that Japan was ready for a 25% cut in greenhouse gas emissions over
1990 levels by the year 2020, which falls within the IPCC's 25-40%
reduction guidelines. The local climate action community's happy at signs that the new
government's taking the issue seriously, but are worried that vague
early promises will be whittled down. While the industrial lobbies
have less sway with the DJP than they did with the LDP, they're
working
overtime to
block meaningful action.
COPENHAGEN: Japanese climate activists are hoping to
hammer out a number of issues in the Japanese negotiating position
before December's Copenhagen climate talks. There's a commitment to
25% greenhouse gas reductions (over 1990 levels) by 2020, but it's
not clear how much of the 25% will come from genuine domestic
reductions, as opposed to buying offshore offsets,
REDDs,
and emissions trading. The government's discussing financing schemes
for developing countries' climate-related projects, but specific
numbers haven't been announced. And there's still limited support for
licensing of essential green technologies to developing countries, in
part because of bad experiences licensing technology to nations like
China.
HOPE: We celebrated October 24th,
350.org's international day of climate action at two Tokyo
events. First we met up with young concerned community members for a
picnic in Yoyogi Park, then we hit the "Make The Rule"
symposium in a crowded
Tokyo conference room. A broad swath of the Japanese climate action community's come together
around a national campaign to "Make the
Rule" -- develop sweeping national
climate change legislation to pin down specifics, and give
industries and communities the basis they need to start taking
action. It was exciting to see a room full of Japanese environmental
movers and shakers, from their 30s to their 70s, strategizing on how
to transition Japan to a low-carbon economy. It's going to be a tough
fight, but Japan's green policy advocates seem ready to take on the
challenge.
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